To achieve herd immunity on a r0 virus of 2.0, 60% of the population has to acquire the bug. If the fatality rate is 2%, are you willing to bury 4.2 million people,,,,and if you are, where you going to bury them all?

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Posted by tigereye58

Member since Jan 2007

2674 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 4:38 pm to Boston911

quote:
To achieve herd immunity on a r0 virus of 2.0, 60% of the population has to acquire the bug. If the fatality rate is 2%, are you willing to bury 4.2 million people,,,,and if you are, where you going to bury them all?

This is not correct. That many just have to build antibodies to the virus. We build antibodies to viruses all the time without ever showing symptoms. This is the point of Dr. Birx wanting an antibody test. What if 40% of us already have antibodies? Herd immunity isnt that far off then. She cited that in SK and China (if we can believe them) there hasn’t been a second spike so more people have antibodies that we probably know.

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Posted by Crowknowsbest

Member since May 2012

25901 posts

Posted on 3/29/20 at 5:40 pm to Boston911

quote:
To achieve herd immunity on a r0 virus of 2.0, 60% of the population has to acquire the bug. If the fatality rate is 2%, are you willing to bury 4.2 million people,,,,and if you are, where you going to bury them all?

That’s not what would happen, both because the fatality rate isn’t that high in practice, and because you would quarantine the high risk population.

If a whole bunch of healthy young people get infected, the mortality rate will be very low.

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