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re: Dr. Saphier breaks down 'very encouraging' COVID-19 numbers: 'We are slowing'

Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:33 am to
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Number of deaths is the worst indicator. All of those cases still open all could potentially be a death


bullshite

No more than 1% and a fraction will be.

Deaths are what matters. People getting sick and recovering happens for all sorts of shite
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2669 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:37 am to
I didn’t say it didn’t matter but if your tracking whether or not the virus is subsided you can’t make that prediction until all of those cases have run their course. 14-21 days after diagnosis. So that’s a long time to wait before those numbers really say anything.

Hospitalization rates and % positive rates are more live indicators.

Death rate makes a big difference next year when we decide not to overreact bc it’s a true death rate of 0.5%.
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