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re: 1795 covid-19 cases in LA (+407), 19 new deaths

Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:09 pm to
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7798 posts
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

15% hit rate on people tested seems pretty good, right?


I really don't know what to think about the rates of positive tests.

On one hand, it seems good that so many are testing negative.

On the other hand, a ton of positive cases -- even many that are very sick -- are not being tested.

I'm in NY and personally know a lot of people that almost certainly have it who are untested even though some have tried to get a test (and NY is doing a lot more tests than anywhere else).

The more stories I hear from NY, the more I wonder exactly what the criteria is to be tested and am sure that it's being applied extremely unevenly.




This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 1:16 pm
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79337 posts
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:12 pm to
It seems likely that southern states hit rate is going down because testing is opening up and more than just the very ill are now getting tests.

Seems likely you're catching more and more people with colds/flu who were being rejected for tests last weeks on account of severity/not having all the prime symptoms
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37171 posts
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

I really don't know what to think about the rates of positive tests.


I think it means that as long as we still have supply limitations on testing, we need to be pre-verifying who gets a test. Because I am afraid a lot of people who really need to be tested, aren't, because the line is full of people with barely a symptom being tested.
Posted by slacker00
Member since Mar 2011
588 posts
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:31 pm to
How accurate are these tests? I asked before but can't find much. What I did find was they were created to not give false positives, but they would give false negatives. Read somewhere that the Chinese tests were even worse and would give both false negatives and false positives.
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