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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 6/27/20 at 8:23 pm to
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6873 posts
Posted on 6/27/20 at 8:23 pm to
New Cases 43k up 36% from last Saturday and 7.3K 20% above the 7-day average. The rise in new cases is showing no sign of slowing down. Testing was high today at 590K with a 7.4% positivity rate. The positivity rate is up 1.7% from last week and is .8% above the 7-day average.

Deaths at 506 today down vs yesterday, last week and the 7-day average. Deaths continue to decline but the curve is definitely flattening out.

Mortality is down to 4.77% and falling.

Of the states, Florida is exhibiting the largest spike. New Cases were 9.5K up 136% from last Saturday and 73% above the 7-day average. Positivity is at 15.8% and climbing. Florida's death rate is holding steady at 7 day average of 36.

Texas is trending up as well, TX new cases are more closely following their testing trend unlike FL. The positivity rate for Texas is increasing slowly but steadily. Texas deaths are fairly flat.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89620 posts
Posted on 6/27/20 at 8:51 pm to
CD - is there any idea out there about how many of these positives are serology (antibody) versus active new infections?

And I know demographics are sometimes tough, but isn't the thinking that huge batches of these spike in cases are folks getting tested for other reasons (going back to work, or unrelated illness, routine testing) as opposed to the height of the original crisis period in mid/late April which was mostly for people in some sort of respiratory distress?

I'm assuming this isn't an apples-to-apples to back then, particularly with the death rate sliding. We were expecting deaths to trail new cases and that isn't happening based on the raw data.
This post was edited on 6/27/20 at 8:51 pm
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33599 posts
Posted on 6/27/20 at 8:59 pm to
quote:


Deaths at 506 today down vs yesterday, last week and the 7-day average. Deaths continue to decline but the curve is definitely flattening out.
This seems like it should be the headline of any publication that is printing headlines about the virus. Yes, infections up - but it's obviously not the vulnerable that are being infected.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
33599 posts
Posted on 6/27/20 at 9:00 pm to
quote:


Deaths at 506 today down vs yesterday, last week and the 7-day average. Deaths continue to decline but the curve is definitely flattening out.
This seems like it should be the headline of any publication that is printing headlines about the virus. Yes, infections up - but it's obviously not the vulnerable that are being infected.

Still just 7-10 days early to get too excited, but if this trend holds, it's essentially the best news imaginable.

And Trump is doing a shite ALL job of spreading the message.
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