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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/11/20 at 8:25 pm to
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6881 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 8:25 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.









Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6881 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 8:33 pm to
A nice decline in the number of deaths reported today. Is this the first indicator of the downward turn? The fact that weekend reporting has been spotty makes me view this skeptically until we see a several day trend.

The days to double for deaths continues to rise which is a great thing to see.

Testing...137K tests today, that number is starting to sound like a broken record as 5 out of the last 9 days have finished very close to this number. Is 137K some type of capacity limit?

Positive test results @ 22.2% for the day on 137K tests gives us that very repetitive 30kish number of new cases.

Mortality...upward it goes, it looks like it will cross into the 4% range tomorrow.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 8:34 pm to
Not bad today

Active cases down too
This post was edited on 4/11/20 at 8:36 pm
Posted by Ingloriousbastard
Member since May 2015
917 posts
Posted on 4/11/20 at 9:32 pm to
Another overall positive day. Daily new cases and fatalities both dropped vs yesterday and continue to indicate flattening.

As far as number of tests administered is concerned, I’m seeing daily ranges between 229,287-122,601 this week. Variances day to day seem to range 15-25% up or down. I’m not sure I’d consider this to be flat.
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