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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:11 pm to the808bass
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:11 pm to the808bass
We are testing more and more people. Your evidence that I am wrong actually suggest that the death rate due to lag should drive the death rate down not up. The increase in testing has not slowed down.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:18 pm to omegaman66
None of that had anything to do with my point.
The lag from a positive test (or more accurately, from symptoms) to death is fourteen days. We are almost exactly two weeks from the trough of CFR, so we are likely seeing the peak of the published CFR. And the published CFR is only connected to the actual CFR by the degree to which we have/haven’t identified asymptomatic patients.
The lag from a positive test (or more accurately, from symptoms) to death is fourteen days. We are almost exactly two weeks from the trough of CFR, so we are likely seeing the peak of the published CFR. And the published CFR is only connected to the actual CFR by the degree to which we have/haven’t identified asymptomatic patients.
This post was edited on 4/10/20 at 12:22 pm
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