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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:11 pm to
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
22797 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:11 pm to
We are testing more and more people. Your evidence that I am wrong actually suggest that the death rate due to lag should drive the death rate down not up. The increase in testing has not slowed down.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111799 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 12:18 pm to
None of that had anything to do with my point.

The lag from a positive test (or more accurately, from symptoms) to death is fourteen days. We are almost exactly two weeks from the trough of CFR, so we are likely seeing the peak of the published CFR. And the published CFR is only connected to the actual CFR by the degree to which we have/haven’t identified asymptomatic patients.
This post was edited on 4/10/20 at 12:22 pm
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