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re: Democratic turnout looks weak

Posted on 2/11/20 at 7:56 pm to
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 2/11/20 at 7:56 pm to
I could be way off

NY Times just tweeted (Nate Cohn) an estimate per candidate and the total is around 210-220k which isn'tfar off from your number

ETA

I completely misread the tweet. Turnout is expected to be around 260k could even surpass 2008.

This post was edited on 2/11/20 at 8:01 pm
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26037 posts
Posted on 2/11/20 at 7:59 pm to
Good god that’s even worse than the OPs numbers
Posted by PEPE
Member since Jun 2018
8198 posts
Posted on 2/11/20 at 7:59 pm to
That's a huge decline actually, like 15%

typically the more competitive the race, the more money being spent, the more candidates = more turnout.

Lower turnout in Iowa and New Hampshire with this field is a strong omen.
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