re: It’s Time We All Get Behind Bernie

Bernie would be polarizing as hell.

He would probably do extremely well in urban areas but get his arse kicked outside of them.


What I think is a bigger concern for the Dems is that Bernie potentially breaks their fractious caucus into several pieces

The youth vote and the hard left would clearly go Bernie. Feminists, blacks, blue collar whites, etc? Not necessarily.


The Dems are precariously balanced so they can win if they get their turnout in certain groups. But Bernie won’t his those thresholds.

With black voters in particular, Bernie has a horrible track record of getting their vote while Trump is trending upward.

If Trump gets a sizable percentage of the black vote, the Dems may be screwed long term without a realignment because their strategy is based on getting about 80% or more of the black vote plus high turnout.

If those black voters bolt and vote Republican, they may never return to the Dems. And that should scare them.