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Message
re: Health experts issued warning about coronavirus pandemic 3 months ago w/ 65 million deaths
Posted on 1/23/20 at 4:12 pm to MrLSU
Posted on 1/23/20 at 4:12 pm to MrLSU
quote:
A scientist at Johns Hopkins last year modeled what would happen if a deadly coronavirus reached a pandemic scale.
Except, um, this virus is not very deadly [so far].
SARS killed 1 in 10 people infected; MERS 1 in 3. Wuhan is killing about 1 in 30 people infected, mainly old people or people with other health issues.
4
Posted on 1/23/20 at 4:41 pm to Patrick_Bateman
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 8:18 am
Posted on 1/23/20 at 4:42 pm to Patrick_Bateman
quote:What if it is 10 times more contagious than SARS though?
SARS killed 1 in 10 people infected; MERS 1 in 3. Wuhan is killing about 1 in 30 people infected
Posted on 1/23/20 at 5:40 pm to Patrick_Bateman
quote:
Wuhan is killing about 1 in 30 people infected, mainly old people or people with other health issues.
Doesn’t take much for this corona virus to mutate, making it much more deadly and contagious. It could explode to a deadlier virus on a global pandemic level.
1 in 30 in China doesn’t seem like much. 1 in 10 with the virus widely spread throughout the U.S. is scary as hell.
Posted on 1/23/20 at 5:53 pm to Patrick_Bateman
quote:
SARS killed 1 in 10 people infected; MERS 1 in 3. Wuhan is killing about 1 in 30 people infected, mainly old people or people with other health issues.
So, we're going to just ignore that:
1. Infection rate could be substantially higher.
2. A mutation could increase mortality rate very quickly
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