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Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 5/28/20 at 7:04 pm to WaWaWeeWa
Posted on 5/28/20 at 7:04 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:Using his estimates, we would expected 0.49 deaths, so 1 death is twice that but obviously the power is too low to really draw too many conclusions.
No it doesn’t.
quote:Not that I’m aware of, but I’m working with the numbers that are available which he (accurately) provided.
And did they do antibody tests on the rest of the crew that was negative for active virus yet?
quote:Using NYC data, they are 45% likely to die than females, but since they represent about half the population but more cases/infections (probably due to work) it’s about 20% higher than the overall population estimates.
Uhhhhh it’s mostly males which are twice as likely to die by most estimations
But again, military personnel are more healthy than your average joe, so that increased risk for males is probably offset (if not more) by superior health.
This post was edited on 5/28/20 at 7:07 pm
2
Posted on 5/28/20 at 9:17 pm to buckeye_vol
There’s really no point in arguing this. We should bring this thread back to posting the most up to date findings. We were doing well for awhile.
Posted on 5/28/20 at 11:31 pm to buckeye_vol
In the battle of how to interpret any TR data - I'll award my winning vote to Buckeye.
Regarding the "some of the crew are 50-64 YO comment." The answer is yes, but maybe like 4 people....and just scraping 50 unless they had multiple Admirals riding along at the time (not impossible). The Command Master Chief has a shot and the fired CO had JUST turned 50.
Enlisted high school graduates start "retiring" at 38 - if they stay in. Most don't, leading to a vast majority of the crew existing in the 18-24 age bracket. The death was a 41 year old Chief - a position that would have been well within the top 5% oldest people on the ship. When I got out at 25, I was older than all but 2 people in my division of 12 people.
And that's with NO diabetics. You may indeed see low level obesity (BMI 30-ish) and some hypertension.
This gets back to the current death split between active duty and dependent (wives and children of active duty members - so same age demographic but mostly female and children thrown into the mix as well).
Active duty (mostly male, but restricted in number of comorbidities): 6,221 cases, 3 deaths (0.05%).
Dependents: 1,071 cases, 5 deaths (0.47%). However, this demographic is not limited in mass or comorbidity (Google the following terms: Bremalo, Grotopotomus).
Regarding the "some of the crew are 50-64 YO comment." The answer is yes, but maybe like 4 people....and just scraping 50 unless they had multiple Admirals riding along at the time (not impossible). The Command Master Chief has a shot and the fired CO had JUST turned 50.
Enlisted high school graduates start "retiring" at 38 - if they stay in. Most don't, leading to a vast majority of the crew existing in the 18-24 age bracket. The death was a 41 year old Chief - a position that would have been well within the top 5% oldest people on the ship. When I got out at 25, I was older than all but 2 people in my division of 12 people.
And that's with NO diabetics. You may indeed see low level obesity (BMI 30-ish) and some hypertension.
This gets back to the current death split between active duty and dependent (wives and children of active duty members - so same age demographic but mostly female and children thrown into the mix as well).
Active duty (mostly male, but restricted in number of comorbidities): 6,221 cases, 3 deaths (0.05%).
Dependents: 1,071 cases, 5 deaths (0.47%). However, this demographic is not limited in mass or comorbidity (Google the following terms: Bremalo, Grotopotomus).
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