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re: Had some fun with golf stats to predict masters:

Posted on 4/9/19 at 10:07 am to
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 4/9/19 at 10:07 am to
quote:

There may be an opportunity for past years, and going forward, for you to adjust your weighting scale to give you better results.



I ran a bunch of different weights and the one I've got delivered the best results.

I'll keep adjusting each year as I do store these data points in the same worksheet.

quote:

Obviously, it's difficult to use statistics to predict how actual humans might perform on a given 2-4 day window. Some Zach Johnson type person might have a great weekend... or a Rory might melt down.


For sure. Also, some players just show up for the Masters, which is why the Vegas odds favor so heavily.
Posted by Mahootney
Lovin' My German Footprint
Member since Sep 2008
11879 posts
Posted on 4/11/19 at 10:01 am to
Hank Haney just laid down some cool stats about Master's winners.
Last 13 years, winner was in Top 10 after Round 1.

Chances are extremely low of winning with 2 or more Double birdies in the tournament.

51 of 72 GIR is a key stat.

And I think there was one about number of 3-putts being a dis-qualifier.

ETA: Oh. And Tiger has only ever won when weather played a factor.
This post was edited on 4/11/19 at 10:02 am
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