re: The second Brossette flop

quote:

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You can ensure victory by punching it in to go up 2 scores or you van run clock with victory formation. Handing off and sliding is easily the worst strategy. Very strange ending.

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you have it completely backwards.

When an opponent has no timeouts and there's very little time left, the best way to GUARANTEE the win is to take a knee and the clock will run out. The math says there's ZERO chance of the opponent getting the ball back.

If we try to score, we could fumble on the run (the defense will try to strip the ball). If we do score, then we HAVE to give them the ball, and they could return the kick for a TD or score on a fluke play. Then, they're down one score and can try an onsides kick. This way, there SOME chance they can win (albeit very small).

So it's the choice between zero chance vs. some chance, and you should go with zero every time.