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Week 1 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 9/2/18 at 11:31 pm
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/2/18 at 11:31 pm
Locked so far:

Cinci +3 at Indy. Don’t get this line at all considering this line implies both teams are even. Luck needs games to ease back into form.

Baltimore -6 vs Bills. Fading the Nathan Peterman Pain Train against a salty Ravens team who’s playoff spot was stolen by the Bills last year.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12073 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 1:24 am to
Rams
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 6:54 am to
The Rams Raiders game is interesting bc I’m not sure what kind of line moves we’ll see.

I was planning on fading the Rams most of the season due to the roster hype, but Gruden has a hype of his own, plus the immeniment Raiders move to Vegas will attract new bettors.
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
9848 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Rams


I would take the Raiders. Neither Goff or Gurley played in the preseason which means rust. Goff is missing an offensive lineman.

Kalil mack might have been trouble but the 3 was set knowing he would hold out. I think Gruden will do enough to make his first game a great one.
Posted by Tunica
Member since May 2018
1789 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 12:07 pm to
Am I missing something with the Titans pk at Miami? I think they roll. Also like the Chargers -3 vs. the Chiefs
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 3:28 pm to
I think the Titans have a few injury concerns - probably will wait and see if Conklin and Matthews are playing.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
17800 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 4:00 pm to
TB+9.5
Nyg +3
Posted by dj30
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2006
29855 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 4:10 pm to
Baltimore -6
Cleveland +5.5

Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/3/18 at 5:03 pm to
On Cleveland too - should be a FG game.

Line already steaming down to 5.
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
9848 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 1:47 am to
quote:

Am I missing something with the Titans pk at Miami?

Ryan Tannehill is 11-4 as a home dog. Mariotta is 2-5 as a road fav. I would lean towards Miami winning this game. Miami didn't have a bye week last year due to the hurricane eliminated week 1 matchup. Alot of bad luck last year in Miami.
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5306 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 4:12 am to
Jags -3
Falcons/Eagles over 45.0

I don’t see how one of the Os doesn’t score 30+

I’m sure the Jags looked better than they were last year and the Giants worse than they were, but even so -3 seems like a steal
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
9848 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 6:15 am to
With the Jags it's all about Bortles. He is like 7-25 on the road. He was 4-4 last year and of the 4 games they won, Pittsburgh was the only good team. They played Houston with Savage, Luck less Colts, and the Browns. Not impressive at all. I think it's a coin flip myself.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:44 am to
I was reading where some site ranked Bortles as the 32nd best starting QB in the league.

I guess he's 31st now that Buffalo is starting Peterman?
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12361 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:18 am to
Really like:
Ravens -7 vs Bills
Jags -3 @ Giants
Steelers -4 @ Browns (lol)

Kind of like:
Bengals +3 at Colts
Texans +6 at Pats
Broncos -2.5 vs Seahawks

No idea:
Saints -9.5 vs. Bucs
Cards pk vs. Redskins
Rams -4.5 @ Raiders


Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42772 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:22 am to
Holy shite the Saints are 9.5 point favorites?


#underdogsnomore
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:25 am to
2nd Lock:

49ers +6.5 @ Minnesota

I get the better QB on the road, plus Minnesota has major OL issues. This spread should be 3 or 3.5 at most IMO.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86003 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 10:27 am to
quote:

This spread should be 3 or 3.5 at most IMO.


That's what it would be on a neutral field.
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12361 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:28 am to
I don't understand that line. And Garoppolo is undefeated as a starter
Posted by Boh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2009
12361 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:34 am to
Also I'm expecting that Steelers/Browns line to move once Bell is officially playing.
Posted by boom roasted
Member since Sep 2010
28039 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:35 am to
Now the real football starts. Can't wait. And just got hooked up with NFL Sunday Ticket.
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