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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85489 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 am to
quote:

Remember when the NHC consensus was for Irma to go well east of Florida and out to sea not even making a U.S. mainland landfall? Then it changed to it making landfall near Miami and then had it going up the west coast of Florida and making landfall near Tampa/St Pete before nudging it back towards the east.


Also, it's worth noting that this was never the NHC forecast. They stick to 5-day forecasts, and they were actually very good with Irma. However, some of the computer models past 5 days were showing the out to sea route early in the development.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
127275 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:59 am to
quote:

lso, it's worth noting that this was never the NHC forecast.
Okay, but you know what I'm referring to. Most of the early models were way off, resulting in a wrong consensus cone. (I admit I'm not a hurricane geek so I don't know all the terminology and forecasting timelines.)

Hell, half the time when I read rds dc's hurricane posts I feel like I'm reading a foreign language. I still don't know what "CAG" means but it seems to be important.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 11:06 am
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