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re: Let's discuss the Monty Hall problem (probabilities, odds)
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:20 am to PrimeTime Money
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:20 am to PrimeTime Money
That is only if you switch.
I.see you edited. I understand it y'all can stop typing out novels. I understood it on page one. But I just don't buy it.
I would stick to my gut because I hate second guessing. Thats the psychological demon in it
I.see you edited. I understand it y'all can stop typing out novels. I understood it on page one. But I just don't buy it.
I would stick to my gut because I hate second guessing. Thats the psychological demon in it
This post was edited on 8/12/17 at 9:22 am
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:21 am to Nado Jenkins83
quote:Exactly. If you switch you get 2/3 odds.
That is only if you switch.
If you don't switch then you only get a 1 in three chance of ever winning.
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:32 am to Nado Jenkins83
quote:That doesn't even make sense. That's like saying I understand that 2 + 2 = 4 but I just don't buy it.
I understood it on page one. But I just don't buy it.
If you really understood it, you'd buy it. The only way you don't buy it is if you really don't understand it.
Posted on 8/12/17 at 9:53 am to Nado Jenkins83
quote:It's math, there's nothing to buy.
I understand it y'all can stop typing out novels. I understood it on page one. But I just don't buy it.
When you swap, the only way you lose is if you chose the car initially. Since the odds of choosing the car initially was 1 in 3, then the odds of winning on the swap is 2 in 3.
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