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Started By
Message
re: Let's discuss the Monty Hall problem (probabilities, odds)
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:02 am to SlapahoeTribe
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:02 am to SlapahoeTribe
The answer is yes for reasons I have never completely understood
5
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:36 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
The answer is yes for reasons I have never completely understood
This.
If I switched and lost because my original pick was correct I'd give every nerd I saw for the rest of my life a swirlie.
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:47 am to Jim Rockford
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/25/17 at 8:23 pm
Posted on 8/12/17 at 8:49 am to Jim Rockford
Conditional probability; once he opens that door, you gain new information and the probabilities change. Switching gives you a 2 in 3 chance.
Posted on 8/12/17 at 12:08 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
The answer is yes for reasons I have never completely understood
Because you actively get another choice. It creates a new problem, and if you stay with the original answer it's still 1/3 where a new answer is 1/2.
Posted on 8/12/17 at 1:12 pm to Jim Rockford
Nvm, already addressed
This post was edited on 8/12/17 at 1:14 pm
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