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re: Lifelong democrat speaks out against dems and Hillary

Posted on 5/7/17 at 12:02 pm to
Posted by tedmarkuson
texas
Member since Feb 2015
2592 posts
Posted on 5/7/17 at 12:02 pm to
not only are democrats out of touch as the man says, the democrats have no interest in being in touch. they have a false narrative and they cling to it as if it's a religion.

THE DEMOGRAPHIC TIPPING POINT!



this belief that they can cobble together a coalition of fruits and nuts and over come a 70% majority of whites to win in perpetuity. that's pure sophistry. it may work with the popular vote but we don't elect the presidency on the popular vote. take a look at that graph.




3.9 million babies born in the US annually and over half are white. we're going to be the majority for a long time.

obama won the popular vote in 2012 by 5 million votes. his popular vote margin in california was 3 million votes in new york two million votes any of that sound familiar?

obama won the presidency in 2012 because he over performed his national average of 40% among white voters in the mid west. performing into the low to mid 40's. clinton under performed her national average of 41% of white voters in the mid west performing in the 35-38% range. handing the victory to trump.

the other problem is that minorities are not evenly distributed in the united states they are disproportionately distributed in red states and a state turns red when 60% of the white vote or more accrues to the republican party and they tend to stay red. mississippi has the largest percentage of blacks in the country at 33% but 90% of whites in mississippi vote reliably republican.

the reason you don't play identity politics is because there was always the risk of creating a solid white voting bloc.

we are now there.

if your battle cry is "sex is between your legs and gender is between your ears!" you're not going to attract the number of people needed to win elections no matter how many times you call those people haters.
This post was edited on 5/7/17 at 12:04 pm
Posted by stewie
Member since Jan 2006
3954 posts
Posted on 5/7/17 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

not only are democrats out of touch as the man says, the democrats have no interest in being in touch. they have a false narrative and they cling to it as if it's a religion.U


You need to look on the mirror at your own party.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 5/7/17 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

tedmarkuson

I've been saying for years that it was a mistake for liberals to believe the "demographics is destiny" line they'd been believing.

For it to be true, they had to assume whites wouldn't change their voting patterns even if Democrats became openly hostile towards them. That was a pretty strange assumption already.

The other false assumption they're making is that even their minority voting patterns will continue unabated.

If they aren't careful, they could easily create a white voting block that looks like the current black voting block while simultaneously watching minority voting blocks become slightly less reliable.

The latter IS destiny because let's be blunt here. The things they have to point to as "outrages" are getting sillier and sillier and yes, rational minorities DO notice that.

If the democrats looked up in 10 years and found themselves STILL dominating the black vote but only getting 80% of it, they wouldn't win another election for 50 years.

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