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re: UF Series Takeaways
Posted on 3/27/17 at 8:07 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 3/27/17 at 8:07 pm to LSURussian
Based on the stats in my link, he is wrong. While a team is likely to score MORE runs with no outs and a runner on 2nd, you are still more likely to score at least 1 run with a runner on 3rd and 1 out.
This post was edited on 3/27/17 at 8:08 pm
2
Posted on 3/27/17 at 8:10 pm to ell_13
Where do you get those types of stats? Is there a book of baseball probability other than a Sabermetrics book?
Posted on 3/27/17 at 8:19 pm to ell_13
What if he does bunt him over and the next two guys still strike out. Are people mad at Paul for giving up an out and not allowing his guys to play? Personally I don't think there is a bad call in that situation. It's a philosophical choice. Some people believe on the road you play for the win and at home you play for the tie. Maybe that's what Paul was thinking. I got my ace on the mound that can give me another inning let's try and get two and win the game in 9 innings instead of extras. It didn't work so of course everyone thinks it's a bad call. The fact of the matter is he didn't ask the next three guys to strikeout they didn't execute what was asked of them either.
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