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re: Official Sweet 16 Thread
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:02 am to LSUShock
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:02 am to LSUShock
quote:Based on his FT%, there's a 61% chance he hits 2 free throws, so a 61% chance you're going to 2OT.
It's the only play that keeps you from getting beat by the only play that can beat you. I'd rather go to 2OT than lose on a 3 like that. The team with the ball last down 2 or less has the advantage.
What do you think the FG% was on the odds of hitting that shot? 25%, at the absolute highest.
Even if you say the odds of winning in OT are 50%, that still is not as high of an EV than letting him shoot the 3, pretty sure my math is on point there.
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:06 am to shel311
I can only guess he means Florida should have fouled with 6 seconds left in regulation up by 3 because that makes since
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