re: How is the EBR Mayor President race looking?

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How is the EBR Mayor President race looking?

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What the early vote in East Baton Rouge showed is White still has an opportunity to win, though it isn’t a perfect one.

White voters made up 56.7 percent of the early voting in EBR, whereas black voters were 40.3 percent. That’s a pretty good spread. The party breakdown of the early vote wasn’t all that good for White, though – Democrats made up 53 percent of the early voters, whereas Republicans were only 34 percent. EBR has lots of white Democrats who reliably vote Republican, and those tend to be older and live in areas which are Bodi White territory – Baker, Zachary, Central and Greenwell Springs, for example. But given that the voter registration spread between D’s and R’s is 48-28 in East Baton Rouge and the spread for the early vote was almost identical at 53-34, he has some work to do on turnout.

That said, we’re told Broome’s camp blew an enormous amount of their stack on a turnout operation for Saturday’s early voting – and that operation pumped the percentage of the black vote from around 37 percent to the 40.3 percent it turned out to be. We’ll find out whether that was the peak for the black vote, or if they’ve got an equal turnout operation for Election Day this Saturday.

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