re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

There continues to be good agreement across the models that P39L could be an issue in the WCAB in 8 to 10 days. Obviously, model forecast at that range are of low confidence but there are reasons to believe that these might not be as low as normal. Development in WCAB matches Climo for the timeframe and the large scale pattern depicted by the models matches up nicely with global teleconnections.

00z GFS at 240hrs



00z Euro at 240hrs



The setup shown in both models would suggest at turn to the Gulf after that. Still a long ways off and probably only of interest to wx nerds at this point.