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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 9/20/16 at 10:55 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
63008 posts
Posted on 9/20/16 at 10:55 pm to
So, how far off were the "preseason" estimates off from actual?
My guess is close to the number of named storms, but too high on the number of major hurricanes, since I'm not sure we got one this season.
Yet.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:44 am to
quote:


So, how far off were the "preseason" estimates off from actual?
My guess is close to the number of named storms, but too high on the number of major hurricanes, since I'm not sure we got one this season.
Yet.


IIRC, most people who put out seasonal forecast went with above normal activity. We are at 12 named storms right now and that is the avg. for a season. However, the season is about 25% below normal for ACE.

The 00z GFS is trying to crank some ACE on this next system

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