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Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
More from Larry Cosgrove:
quote:
12z Operational ECMWF model with 500MB features. Note the huge heat ridge that steers the potential strong hurricane further west. I repeat my suspicion that the storm will be forced to take a more westward path until the subtropical high erodes. Two complications here. Wind and surge with a large and slow moving powerful circulation. And of course heavy rainfall, which if the system comes in on the west side of LA (say Sabine Pass), could prove to be a debacle. I will also say that the possibility exists for a stall upon landfall, IF the ridging is intact and northern shortwave energy does not crease the anticyclone.
9
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:25 pm to GEAUXmedic
I can't give any credence to these types of predictions 8 days out. 3 days from now I think we will have a pretty clear picture. 5 days we will know pretty much for sure.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:26 pm to GEAUXmedic
frick everything that guy just said.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:26 pm to GEAUXmedic
Now that's not good.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
More from Larry Cosgrove
That is basically worse possible scenario. hope he is waaaay off on that
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:30 pm to GEAUXmedic
If that thing stalls on this state then everyone just needs to move out because it's apparent someone doesn't want us living here. That would be an epic disaster.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:31 pm to GEAUXmedic
Whoa! Now this would be very bad if what he says were to come true.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:39 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
12z Operational ECMWF model with 500MB features. Note the huge heat ridge that steers the potential strong hurricane further west. I repeat my suspicion that the storm will be forced to take a more westward path until the subtropical high erodes. Two complications here. Wind and surge with a large and slow moving powerful circulation. And of course heavy rainfall, which if the system comes in on the west side of LA (say Sabine Pass), could prove to be a debacle. I will also say that the possibility exists for a stall upon landfall, IF the ridging is intact and northern shortwave energy does not crease the anticyclone.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:47 pm to GEAUXmedic
frick yea, I just bought a kayak! How right is this guy most of the time?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:49 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
More from Larry Cosgrove:
Wait, wrong guy, Larry is a nutcase.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 2:51 pm
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