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re: Hurricane Season - Nicole only 2nd Cat 3 for Bermuda

Posted on 8/22/16 at 10:01 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85395 posts
Posted on 8/22/16 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

That's a large percentage of the models bringing it over the Florida peninsula.


I'm no meteorologist, but it looks like the initial location is quite a bit to the north of the models. Obviously that is a long way off but it could mean a more northward track across Florida.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5314 posts
Posted on 8/22/16 at 10:07 pm to
I am worried that the models are still under-estimating the ridge. They have trended stronger and stronger with that ridge and some of the models often break down ridges too quickly. I could see this making it further west which would put Louisiana on notice. I won't worry too much, though, the models can't even agree if this will get its act together or not.
This post was edited on 8/22/16 at 10:10 pm
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