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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:24 am to
Posted by Overbrook
Member since May 2013
6106 posts
Posted on 9/5/16 at 9:24 am to
quote:

Hopefully Ole Miss takes care of business tomorrow night. May add the aforementioned teaser (Ole Miss +12/U65.5) tomorrow

Teaser question from someone who doesn't bet them.
You tease Ole Miss at, say, +6 and you get a 100% benefit, as your line doubles to +12. But you tease the under from 59.5 and you only get a 10% line benefit to 65.5.
So it seems to me that there could be great value in teasers is in games around a pick 'em, where you can get a 600% line improvement, if I'm thinking about this right.
This post was edited on 9/5/16 at 9:25 am
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8460 posts
Posted on 9/5/16 at 10:16 am to
You're not thinking about it correctly. A game is not 6 times as likely to land Ole Miss +7 or better than Ole Miss +1 or better.
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