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re: Hurricane Earl - Mexico Bound

Posted on 8/2/16 at 5:02 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 5:02 pm to
quote:


None of the models are giving it much of a chance. Saharan air kills it in the next 12-24 hours.


It looks like it might make 36-48 hrs but the fate is the same. If you run a loop of NASA GEOS-5 Dust EAOT superimposed over Euro 850 vort then you can see it choke the wave out. The remnant vort can be tracked through the islands where it eventually dies.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 5:41 pm to
Some pretty impressive recon data coming in for Earl so far this evening. Possibly as low as 994 mb
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