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Started By
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2
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:39 am to GEAUXmedic
One of the models posted of the jet stream or currents or whatever the hell it was showed motion from Africa just shooting these things in a beeline towards the gulf, do these generally change as the summer goes on or are they consistent?
Posted on 7/31/16 at 11:07 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
latest runs show it traversing the Yucatan into Mexico... looks pretty good for Louisiana.
12z GFS continues to trend toward the Euro with a giant ridge sitting over the top dropping the 591 down in the Gulf forcing the system towards Belize, it might actually end up in Central America at this rate.
Also, ridging is actually stronger over the next couple of days not allowing the system to gain any latitude as it moves across the Caribbean.
ETA: Why is there still some uncertainty?
The GFS breaks down the ridge later on and a stronger system might track north towards the weakness. Timing of the ridge breakdown and strength of the system are still big question marks.
This post was edited on 7/31/16 at 11:22 am
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