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re: When do interest rates rise
Posted on 7/19/16 at 4:25 pm to Shepherd88
Posted on 7/19/16 at 4:25 pm to Shepherd88
quote:
Raising our rates while the rest of the world is in negative rates will only continue to strengthen our dollar, which is not good for us.
That is definitely a possibility but I don't think that the Fed is waiting on the rest of the world to go back to positive interest rates before raising ours.
quote:
Abd where is this bubble you're referring to?
Well the market is at all time highs with labor participation and manufacturing dropping by the day. Housing prices are raising continuously as long as rates stay low. There is without a doubt in my mind a housing bubble going on in many parts of the country. Not to the extent of 2008 but I think its happening. Once rates go up, the less house someone can afford and will drag home prices lower.
This is only my simple minded opinion. There are plenty of people on this board smarter than me.
Posted on 7/19/16 at 4:51 pm to stevengtiger
I don't disagree with that. Although i think it could be more regional than it was 8 years ago. One thing I read about was some of these developers in large metro areas were doing crowd funding REITs essentially instead of getting traditional loans from the bank. So essentially they open up for local investments to be made into a new 50 family condominium plex per say, if you invest then you get an equity stake. They've eliminated the middle man (banks), but I think there is hidden risk here that the general public has never seen.
To respond to the other point though, I think the Fed is absolutely concerned about the rest of the world and Yellen has made that known. I believe she's more or less a lame duck at this point now and looking for Trump to replace her, should he win presidency. Therefore, she just doesn't want to be the one to be blamed should raising rates be disaterous. But of course that's all speculation.
To respond to the other point though, I think the Fed is absolutely concerned about the rest of the world and Yellen has made that known. I believe she's more or less a lame duck at this point now and looking for Trump to replace her, should he win presidency. Therefore, she just doesn't want to be the one to be blamed should raising rates be disaterous. But of course that's all speculation.
Posted on 7/20/16 at 12:44 pm to stevengtiger
quote:
Not to the extent of 2008 but I think its happening. Once rates go up, the less house someone can afford and will drag home prices lower.
The good news is that far fewer people are in homes that they can't afford as compared to 2008. Housing pricing would likely flatten or decline, but there won't be the number of people in negative equity or number of foreclosures.
This post was edited on 7/20/16 at 12:49 pm
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