Belmont Stakes: Exaggerator at 6 to 5

Lani is the play of the year here. The end game had always been the Belmont bes bred to run this far better than the others he's in alfeet Alex level shape galloping 2 miles a day and he's the only horse to have his final work be over 4 furlongs

i'm always serious when it comes to horse racing. you can shite on my basketball threads all day long but i know my shite when it comes to horse racing.


1. Lani is By Tapit, sire of Tonalist who won the belmont 2 years ago. His dam, his dam, heavenly romance, is a grade 1 winner at..... 2000 meters which is roughly a mile and a quarter, in japan. He's a half sibling to 2 graded stakes winners at a mile and a quarter. His damsire, Sunday Silence, came in 2nd in the Belmont to Easy Goer while going for the triple crown. He was shipped to japan where he became the greatest sire in japnese history, siring amoung others Deep Impact, japanese triple crown winner and the WORLD RECORD holder for a 3200 meter (2 mile) race (3:13 and 4, he's first by a full second)


Lani running coming to the US to run here is no different than Casino Drive coming to run in 2008, is no different than Rags to Riches running against the boys in 2007. It's a pedigree play. Lani is bred up and down to gobble up the distance unlike these american fancy bred horses. He wasn't fully cranked up for the derby and the derby and preaknesses were races that pointed him to the belmont.


2. He gallops 2 miles everyday. EVERY.DAY. doesn't mean he's better than the other horses. it does mean he's in better shape than the other horses.


3. In long distance races, I personally like to look for horses that have run a long work before the race or an extremely short BLOWOUT like 3 in 34-35 or something which tells me distinctly they are going to the lead and want a fresh live horse. A long good H work tells me they are loaded and ready to go. He's the only one with a 5F work

quote:

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Destin, with jockey Javier Castellano in the saddle, was the first to work and completed his half-mile breeze in 49.56 seconds while in company with stablemate Awesome Gent. Destin, wearing the blinkers he runs in, was on the outside of Awesome Gent, winner of the Jimmy Winkfield Stakes at Aqueduct earlier this year. They matched each other, stride for stride, throughout the move. The early splits for the work, according to Pletcher's stopwatch, were :13.20 for the opening eighth of a mile and :25.00 for the initial quarter of a mile.

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toss

quote:

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Next on deck was Stradivari, with Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez in the irons. They were joined by Decorated Soldier in the half-mile work, which was recorded in :50.55.

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toss

quote:

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“I don't think the 49 and change or 50 and change really tells the whole story about what the breeze actually was – a good and strong gallop-out and good steady 12 and change splits.”

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pletcher trying to justify his horses shite tier workouts to the public. these horses have nos hot in hell they 're there for the spotlight, and that's okay, but call it what it is

quote:

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With jockey Joel Rosario aboard, Belmont Stakes contender Governor Malibu hit the main track at Belmont Park early Friday morning. Breezing in company, the son of Malibu Moon completed five furlongs in just over a minute, according to trainer Christophe Clement.

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he might not win, hell he might lol but Clement is serious. Clement really doens't do dirt horses anyway anytime he puts a horse in a dirt stakes race you need to pay attention

quote:

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Tanaka was quite happy Wednesday after watching Lani work five furlongs in 1:02.36 over the main track, with a final quarter in 24.55 seconds.

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4. Belmont, all of New york racing really, unlike the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness, don't let horses run on Bute. All the horses in the field will be running without Bute, some of them like Exaggatror, for the first time. JRA (Japanese Racing Association) doesn't allow drugs of any kind in their race horses, Lani has never on on it.

They brought Lani here with the sole intention of winning the belmont. that was the game plan. that's why he's still here. if you want to score BOMBS in horse racing, learn to pin point the intentions of connections and races they are pointing for. they were pointing for this race all along.

Geez, I would have never guessed you were a horse racing expert, but that looks like some serious analysis.

One more thing. Go back and look at the preakness again. Just watch Lani the entire race. He was coming on like a fricking freight train at the end. They're racing him into shape. He will be loaded for fricking bear come next saturday

lol i can tell you are a Beyer Speed Figure Disciple


Also AP Indy Won the Belmont as a Ridgling

What freight train? He's too slow. He couldn't catch Exxagerrator if he had 109 lbs on him. Like I said, I respect the opinion of the horse, but he has shown me nothing in 2 races and why all of a sudden would he change now? No way no how

Lani is definitely a play...

Exaggerator is the horse to beat tho and so are Suddenbreakingnews and creator...

Also a horse to watch is gunrunner...


This will be the race with the most value of the three

The Manhattan and acorn are the races I really want to see

Keith sent him to Oral Roberts rehab