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re: LSU - Alabama Opening Line?
Posted on 10/25/15 at 10:44 am to Topwater Trout
Posted on 10/25/15 at 10:44 am to Topwater Trout
i dont think it will ever get bama -7...opens at 4.5 settles at 3.5
2
Posted on 10/25/15 at 10:47 am to geauxtigers
The money is going to come in on Bama if it's that low.
Posted on 10/25/15 at 11:22 pm to geauxtigers
quote:
i dont think it will ever get bama -7...opens at 4.5 settles at 3.5
I think it probably starts around Bama -6 and doesn't move much. I wouldn't touch it at that, and I don't know if the smart money would either, since I'm not the smart money, after all.
If it's anything below 5, people will be all over Bama, and if it's anything 7 or over, people will be all over LSU, IMO.
If it's Bama -6, does anyone have that statistical table that gives the probability of winning straight up at each point level a team is favored? I would guess a six point favorite probably wins straight up about 65% of the time.
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