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Draft Value article from Barnwell at Grantland

Posted on 3/25/15 at 9:10 pm
Posted by tdevil1
Member since Mar 2007
154 posts
Posted on 3/25/15 at 9:10 pm
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quote:

2. New Orleans Saints
Expected Draft Value: 46.2 points (Rank: 13rd)
Actual Draft Value: 62.1 points (Rank: Third)
Difference: 34.5 percent

Look back at what the Saints did this offseason and you can see how their plan formed. Sean Payton and Mickey Loomis presided over a wildly disappointing 2014 team that failed to live up to lofty expectations, primarily thanks to the league’s second-worst defense. Given that the Saints were more than $20 million over the salary cap, it was going to be virtually impossible to make wholesale changes.

That is, of course, unless they somehow found a way to acquire a bunch of low-cost, high-upside assets. Those are draft picks, and Loomis got a bunch of them. It cost the Saints a fourth-round pick and a trio of offensive starters in Jimmy Graham, Ben Grubbs, and Kenny Stills, but the Saints came away from their offseason trade spree with the 31st, 78th, and 154th picks in this year’s draft. Even after subtracting the fourth-rounder, those 17.5 points amount to the expected return of a mid-first-round pick. The Saints now have three of the first 50 picks and five of the first 80.

Of course, you can’t just write off trading a weapon like Graham as an easy call. Loomis is the same guy who gave Jairus Byrd an enormous deal and signed Champ Bailey to start at cornerback last offseason, and both of those moves turned out to be mistakes. But if you figure that a team with Payton and Brees can create playmakers on offense a lot more easily than it can on the other side of the football, repositioning its assets toward defense makes a lot of sense. And given that the Saints are all in with Brees over the next two seasons, if they want to make the same sort of defensive leap that led them to the Super Bowl in 2009, it’s going to come from young, cheap talent on defense.


Sorry if it's been covered..
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 3/25/15 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

Expected Draft Value: 46.2 points (Rank: 13rd)
Actual Draft Value: 62.1 points (Rank: Third)




So who are we taking at #3
Posted by mm2316
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Aug 2010
6942 posts
Posted on 3/25/15 at 10:20 pm to
I know his time here isn't off to a good start, but it's crazy how much Byrd has been written off already.
Posted by Gugich22
Who Dat Nation
Member since Jan 2006
27721 posts
Posted on 3/25/15 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Loomis is the same guy who gave Jairus Byrd an enormous deal and signed Champ Bailey to start at cornerback last offseason, and both of those moves turned out to be mistakes


Isn't it a little too soon to call that a mistake?
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33769 posts
Posted on 3/25/15 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

is the same guy who gave Jairus Byrd an enormous deal and signed Champ Bailey to start at cornerback last offseason, and both of those moves turned out to be mistakes.


so how do we know the Jairus Byrd signing was a mistake? This guy sounds like a tool. Byrd has already reworked his deal and should be good to go health wise this year. Was taking a flier on Champ Bailey a mistake? Probably. But not a major one money wise.

We drafted a corner who barely contributed in any way so there is that. Plus the guy is going to be 25 when the season starts and has hardly any experience. If I'm gonna nitpick about something... it would be that.

This post was edited on 3/25/15 at 10:40 pm
Posted by Hoodoo Man
Sunshine Pumping most days.
Member since Oct 2011
31637 posts
Posted on 3/26/15 at 7:32 am to
quote:

Rank: 13rd
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