re: Larry brown said that kentucky wouldnt just win in the nba....

Posted on 3/21/15 at 1:49 pm to brgfather129

Posted by PrimeTime Money

Houston, Texas, USA

Member since Nov 2012

27336 posts

Posted on 3/21/15 at 1:49 pm to brgfather129

quote:
Given that, 15pt underdogs are 2-72 since 2003. I think that is fair...they might get hot and steal a couple games against some of the poorer competition, that's about it though.

But that is also only taking into account 1 game. If we're talking about an 82 game season, you would have to assume that Kentucky would improve much more over the course of an NBA season than the Knicks.

So what is a 15 point underdog for game 1 will probably not be the case for game 82.

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Posted by WaltTeevens

Santa Barbara, CA

Member since Dec 2013

10993 posts

Posted on 3/21/15 at 1:52 pm to PrimeTime Money

Only Devin Booker is shooting over 40% from three. Add in the extra distance for threes in the NBA, and talented bigs who won't allow Towns and Cauley-Stein to just have their way on the glass and in the paint, and Kentucky would get destroyed. 7 to 10 wins MAX, I think.

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Posted by brgfather129

Los Angeles, CA

Member since Jul 2009

17115 posts

Posted on 3/21/15 at 2:37 pm to PrimeTime Money

quote:
But that is also only taking into account 1 game. If we're talking about an 82 game season, you would have to assume that Kentucky would improve much more over the course of an NBA season than the Knicks.

So what is a 15 point underdog for game 1 will probably not be the case for game 82

Are they playing the Knicks 82 times?...pretty much every team in the league would be much more than a 15 point favorite.

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