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re: 2015 Season-Long Hurricane Thread - Watching Invest 96L

Posted on 8/5/15 at 9:14 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/5/15 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

NHC is giving that Carolina garbage a 40% probability of TC formation now


That was kind of an odd call on their part but I guess it was "grasping at straws time" by then with this on lurking:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11597 posts
Posted on 8/5/15 at 10:02 pm to

quote:

AS TY SOUDELOR APPROACHES THE COAST OF TAIWAN, EXPECT SOME
INTENSIFICATION AS SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES INCREASE AND POLEWARD
OUTFLOW IMPROVES
DUE TO A RE-ORIENTING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. JUST BEFORE TAU 48, TY 13W WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE
CENTRAL COAST OF TAIWAN
AND BEGIN TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE
RUGGED TERRAIN OF THE ISLAND.


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