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re: New MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred "Open" to Eliminating Defensive Shifts
Posted on 1/26/15 at 4:46 pm to BayouBengals03
Posted on 1/26/15 at 4:46 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
Shifts are a contributor, but not a big one. BIS estimated the number of runs saved via shifting in 2014 at 195 runs across the majors -- or 6.5 runs per team, on average, over the entire season.
The average team scored 659 runs in 2014. Ten years ago in 2004, the average team scored 779 runs. So those 6.5 runs explain just 5 percent of the decline in offense over the past 10 years.
Posted on 1/26/15 at 5:15 pm to tduecen
quote:
The average team scored 659 runs in 2014. Ten years ago in 2004, the average team scored 779 runs. So those 6.5 runs explain just 5 percent of the decline in offense over the past 10 years.
2004 was still pretty much in the PED era, so yeah, I'm not surprised they scored a lot more runs back then.
Posted on 1/27/15 at 10:54 am to tduecen
quote:
Shifts are a contributor, but not a big one. BIS estimated the number of runs saved via shifting in 2014 at 195 runs across the majors -- or 6.5 runs per team, on average, over the entire season.
I'd be interested in knowing how they factored runs saved by shifting. To me, if the SS or 3B is playing traditional 2B, then the shift isn't responsible for the out if a ball is hit to that position.
Basically, in my opinion, the only time the shift "works" is when a hard hit ball goes to the 2B playing shallow RF. Otherwise, its just a ball hit to a normal position, just not a position being manned by the usual player.
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