re: Harbaugh will be fired not traded.

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Macavity92
Harbaugh will be fired not traded.

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If they fire or release him he has no contractual obligations. He can sign anywhere right away.

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Yeah.

1. JH will not be released unless he agrees some conditions. You can guess some of the conditions will be:

1). No other NFL team.
2). 49ers will not pay $5M, the next year salary.

2. Otherwise, 49ers can hold him until Michigan offer expired (around Jan. 1st). No other NFL team is going to pay JH $8M since the Michigan offer will be off table. JH lose the big pay day.
In this scenario the best case for 49ers is pay him $5M and hold him for 1 year.

3. If 49ers fire him after the last game, JH can take any job. 49ers still need to pay him $5M. This is the worst. JH can work for any NFL team including Raiders. 49ers gain nothing. choice 2 is better than this.

The 2, 3 also will damage the 49ers reputation. You screw the agents, coaches, the school this time without any personal gain, they will screw 49ers down the road.

In summary, the signed and released is the best option for 49ers.


The reasons 'the trade JH for picks' is not going to work are:

1). If a NFL team has not fired their coach yet, they need to fire their coach now and start work on the trade.

2). Raiders can work on the trade since they fired their coach already.

3). 49ers does not want to trade JH to Raiders because they are in the same market unless Raiders give up high picks.

4). NFL team will not give 49er high picks because they know 49ers do not want JH around.

5). To hire JH, after you fire your coach, you need to interview Black coach first. Black coaches know the reason you fire your coach before Black Monday, they may not bother to interview.

6). Not many teams want to pay the coach $8M per year.

7). If trade is done after Michigan offer expired (Jan 1), JH lose leverage and may block any trade. So you will have very short time to work on the trade.

8). If you are a GM and you try your best to make the trade work, due to the limit time and JH can block the trade, the chance you succeed is very small. You may get fired because of this. So why do you want to do sth that will risk your job? A better approach is tell your owner, 'IT IS TOO LATE!'