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Landrieu outperformed the rcp poling averages by 8 points
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:40 am
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:40 am
RCP showed her down 20.2, and she lost by 12.
Even in a red tide year that saw other southern dems go down by twenty or more, this lady managed to over-perform expectations.
Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections? I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.
Cassidy annoying robocalls probably worked against him.
Even in a red tide year that saw other southern dems go down by twenty or more, this lady managed to over-perform expectations.
Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections? I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.
Cassidy annoying robocalls probably worked against him.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:49 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
My conservative relatives hated, hated Cassidy's negative ads, especially the spelling bee one. So much that they would change the channel or get up and leave the room. They probably still voted for Cassidy, but his advertising really turned them off. So it may have motivated a few of his voters to stay home.
Ideology aside, Cassidy is kind of a doofus and apparently has some ethical baggage related to his double billing LSUMC. He had the wind at his back this time, but I expect somebody to make a hard run at him when he comes up for reelection. Either a Democrat or somebody from his own party.
Ideology aside, Cassidy is kind of a doofus and apparently has some ethical baggage related to his double billing LSUMC. He had the wind at his back this time, but I expect somebody to make a hard run at him when he comes up for reelection. Either a Democrat or somebody from his own party.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:52 am to Jim Rockford
That, or it could have been cassidy supporters staying home thinking it was in the bag.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 12:54 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I decided not to vote rather than vote for Cassidy after getting daily robocalls for a while from his supporters, up to 2 or 3 calls a day this past week. I will never vote for a candidate that robocalls me ever again.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 1:22 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Cassidy's people didn't vote
Posted on 12/7/14 at 3:20 am to LeonPhelps
quote:
I will never vote for a candidate that robocalls me ever again.
X2
Posted on 12/7/14 at 3:22 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
That, or it could have been cassidy supporters staying home thinking it was in the bag.
Pretty much this....
Posted on 12/7/14 at 4:37 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:I know of two who didn't vote because "he's got this." Anyone else?
RCP showed her down 20.2, and she lost by 12 because RCP showed him up by 20.2
Posted on 12/7/14 at 5:27 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections?
Hunting season.
quote:
I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.
Other than the D and the parts I don't see much in common between the two.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 6:30 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Considering she received >40% in the primary, anyone seriously predicting she'd lose by >20% needed their head examined.
RCP showed her down 20.2, and she lost by 12.
Even in a red tide year that saw other southern dems go down by twenty or more, this lady managed to over-perform expectations.
Why has she been able to "defy odds" so damn much in elections? I'm glad she's gone, but I wanted a wendy davis type landslide.
Make no mistake though. Landrieu was crushed.
Don't take my word for it.
Here is Politico's account:
quote:
DEMS' FINAL INSULT: LANDRIEU CRUSHED
Cassidy trounces incumbent with Republicans set to control 54 Senate seats in the next Congress.
By James Hohmann
12/6/14 9:49 PM EST
In the final insult of a devastating 2014 election for Democrats, Sen. Mary Landrieu, the party’s last remaining statewide officeholder from the Deep South, was trounced Saturday in the head-to-head Louisiana Senate runoff election.
Republican Bill Cassidy’s resounding victory is the ninth Senate seat picked up by the GOP in this year’s elections, three more than the party needed to take control of the chamber. With nearly all the ballots counted, Cassidy led Landrieu by 14 points, 57 percent to 43 percent.
LINK
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:19 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
Considering she received >40% in the primary, anyone seriously predicting she'd lose by >20% needed their head examined.
I think those people were assuming a lot of her primary voters would stay home this time.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:22 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
She gone,
and that is all that matters right now.
Christmas has come early!
and that is all that matters right now.
Christmas has come early!
This post was edited on 12/7/14 at 7:24 am
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:27 am to SpidermanTUba
"Hunting season"?????????
Racist much TUba?? Your constant referral to this betrays your inner racism.
Racist much TUba?? Your constant referral to this betrays your inner racism.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:43 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:44 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I have a very hard time believing she legally got 85% of the vote in Orleans Parish.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 7:59 am to dante
I thought the spelling bee commercial was effective and clever. I do not understand how a person cannot vote someone because of ads. Either you like the candidate's message or not. Its not like ML was being an angel in her campaign. Unfortunatley, sometimes you have to pound the truth into people in order for them to see the truth. Bill Cassidy message was clear and simple. ML voted for Obama 97 percent of the time. His message worked!!
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:06 am to dante
Her biggest parish support came from Orleans Parish.
Check out the demographics of that parish, and you'll know why.
Facts are facts... Mary only carried parishes with majority Black voters.
Check out the demographics of that parish, and you'll know why.
Facts are facts... Mary only carried parishes with majority Black voters.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:10 am to Jim Rockford
Everyone in my conservative circle loved the spelling bee commercial.
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:11 am to dante
Not saying they were all legal, but she lost about 7500 of the votes she had on 11-4. Cassidy picked up about 500.
Mary - from 94905 to 87398
Cassidy - from 15033 to 15585
Posted on 12/7/14 at 8:15 am to TigerTattle
quote:
Mary - from 94905 to 87398
Cassidy - from 15033 to 15585
Those numbers don't seem that crazy for Orleans, given the population and the demographics.
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