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FSU would be favored over Arky by 1.5
Posted on 11/23/14 at 6:05 am
Posted on 11/23/14 at 6:05 am
For all those wondering...FSU -1.5 vs Arkansas (with a healthy Allen) on a neutral field as per Ed Salmons, chief oddsmaker at @LVSuperBook
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Posted on 11/23/14 at 6:06 am to ChemE in the OP
Guess Bama, Ole Miss, and LSU wouldn't have covered that against them.
In seriousness, Arkansas has won their last two games over top 15 opponents by a combined 37-0. They also derped games against Alabama and Mississippi State recently where they looked every bit as good. Arkansas is playing some really good ball.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
In seriousness, Arkansas has won their last two games over top 15 opponents by a combined 37-0. They also derped games against Alabama and Mississippi State recently where they looked every bit as good. Arkansas is playing some really good ball.
This post was edited on 11/23/14 at 6:10 am
Posted on 11/23/14 at 6:21 am to ChemE in the OP
He also claims Baylor would be 7.5 favorites over Ohio State on a neutral field this weekend. I'm not sure how accurate this guys numbers are.
Doing a bit of research I saw an interview. Here are some pieces of it:
You opened at Alabama minus-10, significantly higher than what John Avello did at the Wynn. Avello opened at -7. Why the bigger number?
Q: How much is LSU’s home-field worth to the spread?
Salmons: I always chuckle when people say this place or this place is a hard place to play. The only true home-field advantage is if you play in higher altitude.
Q: But still Death Valley at night has to be considered one of the toughest places to play in college football, right?
Salmons: Are you kidding me? If Alabama gets up early, those fans are going to be booing LSU. Death Valley will become Boo Valley.
Q: So you’re saying that Tiger Stadium is worth just the standard three-point home field advantage?
Salmons: In this game, it’s probably worth less.
So if he opened 3 points off from a different line in real life, I have no trouble believing he would make up inflated claims on games that he never has to pay the piper on(Baylor one worse than this IMO). I think Florida State would end up being more like 3.5 point favorites before all would be said and done. But they haven't been a great spread-covering team this year.
Doing a bit of research I saw an interview. Here are some pieces of it:
You opened at Alabama minus-10, significantly higher than what John Avello did at the Wynn. Avello opened at -7. Why the bigger number?
Q: How much is LSU’s home-field worth to the spread?
Salmons: I always chuckle when people say this place or this place is a hard place to play. The only true home-field advantage is if you play in higher altitude.
Q: But still Death Valley at night has to be considered one of the toughest places to play in college football, right?
Salmons: Are you kidding me? If Alabama gets up early, those fans are going to be booing LSU. Death Valley will become Boo Valley.
Q: So you’re saying that Tiger Stadium is worth just the standard three-point home field advantage?
Salmons: In this game, it’s probably worth less.
So if he opened 3 points off from a different line in real life, I have no trouble believing he would make up inflated claims on games that he never has to pay the piper on(Baylor one worse than this IMO). I think Florida State would end up being more like 3.5 point favorites before all would be said and done. But they haven't been a great spread-covering team this year.
Posted on 11/23/14 at 6:53 am to ChemE in the OP
Fsu isn't as good this year and Arky is playing well atm.. Not sure how this is such a stretch.
Posted on 11/23/14 at 7:45 am to ChemE in the OP
That doesn't surprise me. Whats the spread against MIzzou.
Posted on 11/23/14 at 10:04 am to ChemE in the OP
Yea arkansas easily could have beaten A&M, MSU, and Bama this year.
That would pretty much put them first in the division, no?
That would pretty much put them first in the division, no?
Posted on 11/23/14 at 10:07 am to ChemE in the OP
I'd bet an obscene amount of money I shouldn't bet if I was offered FSU - 1.5 against Arkansas on a neutral field.
Posted on 11/23/14 at 10:10 am to ChemE in the OP
What is with all this Arky talk?
Who gives a shite about them?
Having watched Arky...I would take...
tOSU, Oregon, FSU, Baylor, ASU and UCLA over them.
They remind me of a middle of the road Big10 team.
That's how far the SEC has fallen.
If Arky is a threat in your conference and to Bama...14-13....you be in trouble. Bret B.![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Who gives a shite about them?
Having watched Arky...I would take...
tOSU, Oregon, FSU, Baylor, ASU and UCLA over them.
They remind me of a middle of the road Big10 team.
That's how far the SEC has fallen.
If Arky is a threat in your conference and to Bama...14-13....you be in trouble. Bret B.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
This post was edited on 11/23/14 at 10:12 am
Posted on 11/23/14 at 10:30 am to ChemE in the OP
So how many other teams would be favored over Arky?
Bama, Baylor, Oregon...
Ohio State? Miss St? TCU?
Bama, Baylor, Oregon...
Ohio State? Miss St? TCU?
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