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re: Early line for bama??
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:12 pm to Kingpenm3
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:12 pm to Kingpenm3
According to the ODDSMAKER formula...
Alabama has a Rating (R) of -11
LSU has a Rating (R) of -4
Since this is a home game for LSU, LSU's current Home Field Vantage (HFV) is 3
You take -11 (Alabama's R) and subtract from -4 (LSU's R) to get 7 (Neutral Field Line)
You take 7 (Neutral Field Line) and subtract from 3 (LSU's HFV) to get 4
Right now Bama would be a -4 favorite
Alabama has a Rating (R) of -11
LSU has a Rating (R) of -4
Since this is a home game for LSU, LSU's current Home Field Vantage (HFV) is 3
You take -11 (Alabama's R) and subtract from -4 (LSU's R) to get 7 (Neutral Field Line)
You take 7 (Neutral Field Line) and subtract from 3 (LSU's HFV) to get 4
Right now Bama would be a -4 favorite
3
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:12 pm to Six3
quote:
According to the ODDSMAKER formula...
Alabama has a Rating (R) of -11
LSU has a Rating (R) of -4
Since this is a home game for LSU, LSU's current Home Field Vantage (HFV) is 3
You take -11 (Alabama's R) and subtract from -4 (LSU's R) to get 7 (Neutral Field Line)
You take 7 (Neutral Field Line) and subtract from 3 (LSU's HFV) to get 4
Right now Bama would be a -4 favorite
Cool, thanks.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:14 pm to Six3
and as of right now, for LSU's remaining schedule...
LSU -1 vs Arkansas (R = 1, HFV 4)
LSU -4 vs Texas A&M (R = 3, HFV = 3)
of course these are subject to change week to week with team's results.
LSU -1 vs Arkansas (R = 1, HFV 4)
LSU -4 vs Texas A&M (R = 3, HFV = 3)
of course these are subject to change week to week with team's results.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:16 pm to Six3
oddsmakers don't use this. yeah they rate teams and compare the ratings but they don't follow it to a T. Just a very general baseline. Also LSU has higher than a 3 Home field advantage. 3 is usually considered the average and we have a higher one while vandy has a lower one...I've heard around 7.5-6.5 from some offshore books. Vegas will prolly sit on the higher end
ETA: yeah they rate teams and compare the ratings but they don't follow it to a T. Just a very general baseline
ETA: yeah they rate teams and compare the ratings but they don't follow it to a T. Just a very general baseline
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 5:18 pm
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