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re: Official Week 5 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 10/3/14 at 2:33 pm to
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8809 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 2:33 pm to
So teasing those three specific teams would not be smart? Wouldn't I be getting past those numbers by teasing them? Or you are saying that I'm already passed those numbers so why tease them?
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8451 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 3:32 pm to
Okay, this is going to be kind of long...but it should get my point across.


Let's say you want to parlay two sides together...Jets +6.5 and Bills +7, for example.

A two team parlay with both sides at -110 pays roughly 2.6 to 1.

A two team teaser at 6 points pays -110 typically. So you are giving up return on investment in exchange for the opportunity to buy points.


Let's say you tease two teams from 7.5 to 13.5. If you bought those points instead, then parlayed them, you'd be getting odds of +105.

However, if you use those teaser points to grab 3 and 7 instead (like Chicago +2.5 to 8.5) you get the best of it because your teaser charges you the same amount to move across non key numbers as it does key numbers, whereas a book would charge 30 cents and 15 cents both ways to move over 3 and 7, respectively.

Cliff notes: Teasers contain an inefficiency where it does not charge you extra to move across the key numbers of 3 and 7. You should probably exploit this inefficiency if you choose to play teasers.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33778 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 3:37 pm to
parlay card plays this week:

Atlanta +4 @ New York Giants
Kansas City +6 @ San Francisco
Baltimore +3 @ Indianapolis
Cincinnati -1 @ New England
Chicago +2.5 @ Carolina

took a lot of road dogs this week. Was already feeling good about the Bears earlier in the week but feel even more confident after hearing RJ Bell.

I think the Patriots make a stand at home after getting embarrassed last week. I don't know how they'll do it but I'd hate to bet against Belichick in this spot.
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