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LSU (16-9,7-7) vs Arkansas (17-10,8-6) - PMAC - WED 7:00 - SECN
Posted on 2/26/13 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 2/26/13 at 12:36 pm
Who: LSU Tigers (16-9,7-7) vs Arkansas Razorbacks (17-10,8-6)
When: Wednesday, Feb 27 - 7:00pm
Where: Baton Rouge, LA - Pete Maravich Assembly Center (13,215, 47th NCAA)
How:
TV: SECN (Alexandria-KLAX-DT2; Baton Rouge-WBXH; Lafayette-KADN; Monroe-KARD; New Orleans-WUPL; Shreveport-KSHV)
Radio: 98.1FM
Stream: ESPN3.com
After an 0-4 SEC start, LSU has an opportunity to go above .500 in league play for the first time since starting 1-0 last season. The Tigers stay at home to face a team that has historically been very poor on the road. Arkansas is 1-9 this season away from Bud Walton Arena. Last season, they were 1-11 away from Bud Walton, and in 2011 they were 3-10 away from their home arena. To put it nicely, the Razorbacks have struggled on the road, especially the last two years under head coach Mike Anderson.
LSU has won their last five home games, including big wins against Texas A&M, Missouri, and Alabama. Even with all this, Arkansas is the team who is still considered by many "on the bubble" for an opportunity at the NCAA Tournament. That alone gives Arkansas the drive needed to right the ship when it comes to their road woes. That doesn't mean LSU has nothing to play for. LSU currently sits only one game out of a three way tie for fifth place in the SEC.
Arkansas is a team that has struggled from beyond the arc. Recently, they have found freshman guard Anthlon Bell (6'3" 190) to be their answer from deep. He has averaged 15.5 points per game over his last two and has helped extend defenses. Arkansas is however, very good from inside the arc. As a team they shoot 50.3% from inside the arc and have been very successful in protecting the ball. Even with their uptempo style, the Razorbacks average 12 turnovers per game. They are 10th in the NCAA in turnovers per possession.
The Razorbacks are also deep. The Razorback bench provides 44.2% of the teams total minutes, good for 5th most in the country. However they do have a weakness that LSU could try and attack. As Razorback coach, Mike Anderson, put it, "It's evident when Marshawn (Powell) is not out there. We're a different team." That's because outside of Powell, the Razorbacks have very little size. Fellow starter Coty Clarke adds a 6'7" body, but besides his, only backups Jacorey Williams (6'8" 204 Fr) and Hunter Mickelson (6'10" 245 So) stand above 6'5" tall.
The idea of freshmen Jacorey Williams with only 204 pounds of body guarding Johnny O'Bryant should have Tiger fans salivating. Powell has been in foul trouble recently, including their last game against Florida where he had to sit out a major chunk of time in the first half and was only able to log 20 minutes, 7 points, and 2 rebounds. LSU should try and force Powell into foul trouble.
Arkansas Coach Anderson knows of this potential matchup as well. "Johnny O'Bryant is a double-double waiting to happen." LSU will try and pack it in on defense and make Arkansas score from outside. Another Arkansas threat, is BJ Young, who has been a very efficient point guard for the Razorbacks. His 15.7 points, 3.7 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and only 2 turnovers per game are very impressive numbers.
While the outcome isn't evident, one thing is; Coach Jones has turned it around, and others have started to see it. Arkansas Coach Anderson put it well. "It's his (Johnny Jones) dream job... He's got people excited about basketball." The school newspaper (Daily Reveille) called the team "Resilient", which is a great way of saying Coach Jones teams don't give up. CBS Sports host Tim Brando said, "People are now calling me about you (Jones) that didn't call before." People are noticing LSU and could move up as high as 5th in the SEC by the weekend.
Prediction:
LSU 76, Arkansas 72
This post was edited on 2/27/13 at 9:29 am
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:08 pm to SouthOfSouth
Coty Clarke was the #2 JUCO rebounder last season...#1? John Odo
This post was edited on 2/26/13 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:08 pm to SouthOfSouth
tFlagship comes to town!
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:09 pm to SouthOfSouth
Should be a good game. If we get Powell into foul trouble early then I think we win.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:10 pm to SouthOfSouth
Also, what's the deal with the huge jump in unadj to adj SOS for Arkansas players? Compared to most others they seem to on average have much bigger jumps. IS it because they play so many bodies?
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:15 pm to SouthOfSouth
quote:so they'll go 12/20 from 3 against us of course
Arkansas is a team that has struggled from beyond the arc.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:18 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
Also, what's the deal with the huge jump in unadj to adj SOS for Arkansas players? Compared to most others they seem to on average have much bigger jumps. IS it because they play so many bodies?
Yea its due to low minutes. I only put players with at least 10 minutes per game for opponents, but they have even more that play significant minutes that I didn't add. I talked about Anthlon Bell who doesnt average 10 min per game but has averaged over 15 in the last two. They are deep. Just not a lot of size.
We have 3 players who play more minutes than their minutes leader. They are the way LSU should be next year with depth.
This post was edited on 2/26/13 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:19 pm to Pilot Tiger
quote:
so they'll go 12/20 from 3 against us of course
I couldn't believe Tennessee. Fricking 29.6% 3pt shooting team coming into game and go 10 for 15 behind the arc. I mean W-T-F.
Arkansas shoots 31% from 3, I suppose they'll go something like 7/15
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:21 pm to thunderbird1100
I will say that they go at a faster pace than even LSU does. LSU averages 69.6 possessions per game and Arkansas averages 71.3 per game. That's 13th fastest in the NCAA.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:24 pm to SouthOfSouth
quote:
I will say that they go at a faster pace than even LSU does. LSU averages 69.6 possessions per game and Arkansas averages 71.3 per game. That's 13th fastest in the NCAA.
Im sure that's what Johnny Jones wants to be pace wise if we had just a couple more able bodies.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:26 pm to SouthOfSouth
quote:
LSU 76, Arkansas 72
I think so too. We have some good momentum going. I'm starting to think that the only game we'll lose the rest of the season is @Mizzou.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:28 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
Im sure that's what Johnny Jones wants to be pace wise if we had just a couple more able bodies.
Yea. Jones wants more length and athleticism than Arkansas has, but the game pace is right where Jones would like.
Next year with our ridiculous amount of 6'7" and taller players, LSU will really be able to get at teams.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:30 pm to SouthOfSouth
I want the Tigers to win!
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:33 pm to SouthOfSouth
This week's SEC games:
Tuesday
Auburn @ Alabama - 6:00 (ESPNU)
Florida @ Tenn - 8:00 (ESPN)
Wednesday
Arkansas @ LSU - 7:00 (SECN)
Miss St @ Kentucky - 7:00 (SECN)
Texas A&M @ Miss - 8:00 (CSS)
UGA @ Vandy - 8:00 (FSN)
Thursday
Mizzou @ S Carolina - 8:00 (ESPN2)
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:34 pm to SouthOfSouth
Tigers need Florida to beat Tennessee tonight. LSU wants to pass up Tennessee for sure. Really need to get to 6th. Wouldn't mind 5th even though we would have to play Florida in Semis.
This post was edited on 2/26/13 at 1:35 pm
Posted on 2/26/13 at 1:35 pm to Signature
They won't guard us down low as well as Bama or Tenn did. LSU by 10.
Tigers 77
Piglets 67
Tigers 77
Piglets 67
Posted on 2/26/13 at 2:39 pm to tiger perry
Jeez...I'm really wishing we hadn't blown those 3 games against Auburn, Georgia & South Carolina.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 2:52 pm to TXGunslinger10
quote:
Jeez...I'm really wishing we hadn't blown those 3 games against Auburn, Georgia & South Carolina.
Yep. 19-6 and without any bad losses would probably have us in the NCAAT right now.
Posted on 2/26/13 at 2:54 pm to Captain Ron
100% agree. If we won even two of those three games, we are looking at tournament birth. Those terrible RPI losses are really holding us back.
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