quote:
Guys that I like to out-perform their ranking:
Conley, Monroe, Bosh, Gallinari, Unibrow, Holiday, Matthews, Bogut, Varejao, Faried, JR Smith, Lillard, Asik, Pekovic.

Conley and Monroe were top 25 players last season. Both could propel into the top 15 this season if:

Conley stops shooting so much. His FG% is killer. But he could end up being elite in steals, assists, FT%, 3PM if he "takes the next step". Also rebounds well for a PG.

Monroe could be the Pau Gasol on this decade if he can block a full shot, shot and a half.

Galinari, Bosh, Holiday, Matthews are going to trend downwards IMO.

Unibrow, Faried, Asik, Pekovic are trending upward.

Bogut and Varejao will be who they always are.

JR Smith is meh.

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Other things I'm interested in:
-Serge Ibaka breakout year. Should see an increase in minutes so those raw numbers should go up. Might be dropping the occasional 3 pointer all of a sudden too? But where do you take him in comparison to Bynum, Pau, Cousins, etc?

Will he get a chance to score (or step out beyond the arc?) with Durant, Westbrook, and Harden shooting the ball? Probably not. His rebounds should increase by default if he plays more minutes. Maybe he becomes a 2 stat guy this year. He is no doubt a dominant shot blocker and plays his role well with the Thunder, but if doesn't bring down double digit boards he will secure his spot as most overrated fantasy player 2 years running. I wouldn't take him over Pau, Cousins, or Bynum in a regular league, but over Pau in a keeper probably.

quote:
Philly's wings. Who out of Turner, JRich, Wright, and Nick Young is fantasy relevant? Turner is going the highest but I don't think he's a lock to keep his starting job. Dorell Wright has the most upside here IMO.

Don't really like any of them, but Turner had some big games last year when he got a chance.

quote:

-Amare, Griffin, Nene. Lots of upside here or stay away? 3 guys that were elite two years ago but tanked last year.

Griffin is interesting, but his FT% is killer.

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Posted by floridatigah

Member since Oct 2004

10395 posts

Posted on 10/25/12 at 12:35 pm to GynoSandberg

quote:
Galinari, Bosh, Holiday, Matthews are going to trend downwards IMO.

Gallo- Post-injury numbers killed him and he still finished 51st in standard leagues and has an ADP of 60.

Bosh- Not as high on him as the others but like his rebounding numbers to go up as he plays more center.

Holiday- Lou Will and Iguodala departing puts the ball back in his hands more so his raw numbers should go back up to 10-11 levels. If the FG% goes up he's a top 40 guy who you can get in the 60's.

Matthews- Ranked 47th last year despite FG% bottoming out at 41%. Should see that equal out this year and will make his 70 ADP look crazy.

quote:
Guys like Klay Thompson, Dragic and Ilyasova will take huge jumps in their rankings from last season.

Agree with all these. Dragic's ADP is only 2 spots lower than Conley, that's why I didn't include him.

quote:
Grevis Vazquez
Robin Lopez
James Johnson (if he gets minutes)
Alonzo Gee
Chandler Parsons
Trevor Booker
JJ Hickson
Lester Hudson

Love Vasquez. George Hill is another late round PG who is going to out-perform his ranking IMO, his numbers as a starter were very good, just isn't going to give you the assists. Good call on Booker, Parsons, and Johnson as well.

On Cleveland, would you rather own Gee or Miles?

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