Anyone else having their draft tonight? This board is overrun with football threads, was hoping my fellow FBB nerds could come drop some knowledge.

Guys that I like to out-perform their ranking:
Conley, Monroe, Bosh, Gallinari, Unibrow, Holiday, Matthews, Bogut, Varejao, Faried, JR Smith, Lillard, Asik, Pekovic.

Other things I'm interested in:
-Serge Ibaka breakout year. Should see an increase in minutes so those raw numbers should go up. Might be dropping the occasional 3 pointer all of a sudden too? But where do you take him in comparison to Bynum, Pau, Cousins, etc?

-Philly's wings. Who out of Turner, JRich, Wright, and Nick Young is fantasy relevant? Turner is going the highest but I don't think he's a lock to keep his starting job. Dorell Wright has the most upside here IMO.

-Amare, Griffin, Nene. Lots of upside here or stay away? 3 guys that were elite two years ago but tanked last year.

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Posted by Toula

504

Member since Dec 2006

35399 posts

Posted on 10/25/12 at 10:01 am to floridatigah

quote:
Might be dropping the occasional 3 pointer all of a sudden too?

He's hit 4 in the last 4 games..didn't take a shot from 3 last night. Will be interesting to see if it's just preseason "fun" or if he actually developed long range touch.

quote:
But where do you take him in comparison to Bynum, Pau, Cousins, etc?

In a redraft, I'd take him behind Bynum and Cousins and over Pau.

quote:
Who out of Turner, JRich, Wright, and Nick Young is fantasy relevant?

I hate Turner. Wouldn't touch him based on where he's being drafted. JRich and Wright are the two value plays.

quote:
-Amare, Griffin, Nene. Lots of upside here or stay away?

I'd stay away from all 3 based on ADP. Maybe Nene late, but that's an extremely crowded frontcourt.

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Posted by MrPappagiorgio

Prairieville

Member since Jan 2009

41122 posts

Posted on 10/25/12 at 10:01 am to floridatigah

quote:
Guys that I like to out-perform their ranking:
Conley, Monroe, Bosh, Gallinari, Unibrow, Holiday, Matthews, Bogut, Varejao, Faried, JR Smith, Lillard, Asik, Pekovic

Paul George makes his way into the top 15 this year, IMO

This post was edited on 10/25/12 at 10:02 am

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Posted by GynoSandberg

Member since Jan 2006

72092 posts

Posted on 10/25/12 at 10:21 am to floridatigah

quote:
Guys that I like to out-perform their ranking:
Conley, Monroe, Bosh, Gallinari, Unibrow, Holiday, Matthews, Bogut, Varejao, Faried, JR Smith, Lillard, Asik, Pekovic.

Conley and Monroe were top 25 players last season. Both could propel into the top 15 this season if:

Conley stops shooting so much. His FG% is killer. But he could end up being elite in steals, assists, FT%, 3PM if he "takes the next step". Also rebounds well for a PG.

Monroe could be the Pau Gasol on this decade if he can block a full shot, shot and a half.

Galinari, Bosh, Holiday, Matthews are going to trend downwards IMO.

Unibrow, Faried, Asik, Pekovic are trending upward.

Bogut and Varejao will be who they always are.

JR Smith is meh.

quote:
Other things I'm interested in:
-Serge Ibaka breakout year. Should see an increase in minutes so those raw numbers should go up. Might be dropping the occasional 3 pointer all of a sudden too? But where do you take him in comparison to Bynum, Pau, Cousins, etc?

Will he get a chance to score (or step out beyond the arc?) with Durant, Westbrook, and Harden shooting the ball? Probably not. His rebounds should increase by default if he plays more minutes. Maybe he becomes a 2 stat guy this year. He is no doubt a dominant shot blocker and plays his role well with the Thunder, but if doesn't bring down double digit boards he will secure his spot as most overrated fantasy player 2 years running. I wouldn't take him over Pau, Cousins, or Bynum in a regular league, but over Pau in a keeper probably.

quote:
Philly's wings. Who out of Turner, JRich, Wright, and Nick Young is fantasy relevant? Turner is going the highest but I don't think he's a lock to keep his starting job. Dorell Wright has the most upside here IMO.

Don't really like any of them, but Turner had some big games last year when he got a chance.