re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

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Would think by the end of the first episode or beginning of the 2nd anyway.

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I was thinking that would be towards the start of the first episode, maybe the very first scene. If I had to take a guess, Joffrey will die in the 4th episode, to where we'll need some bonding time with him.

How I see the first episode starting out is Tyrion tells Bronn with a group of other lords that he is awaiting Doran Martell and that he is calm and docile to where this won't be a problem. As the Martell party approaches, one of the Tyrell men is able to recognize Oberyn from the distance and tells Tyrion that it isn't Doran who is coming. Tyrion lets out a "frick me" and slight shutter. Oberyn is a bit sarcastically pissed about Joffrey or Tywin not coming to greet him. They then ride off to the castle after exchanging a few more sarcastic jabs between one another.

Towards the end of the episode, Oberyn comes to Tyrion's chambers to share a drink with him and tells him how he previously "met" Tyrion when he was younger. Oberyn then tells him his suspicions that Tywin is not going to go through on his end of the agreement, and regardless if he does, he wants the man who gave the Mountain the order on killing his sister.

Episode 2 will be the Small Council and Oberyn will directly confront Tywin with his terms. As they all leave (minus Tyrion), Tyrion tells him that they'll have to meet his terms, and Tywin telling Tyrion he refuses to give over the Mountain and will tell him that Amory Lorch did it at his own accord.

Episode 3 we have another bonding moment with Oberyn and Tyrion, and 4 will be the wedding itself.