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re: 50-50 shot to make Omaha?
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:47 pm to therocketscientist
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:47 pm to therocketscientist
100% chance that we have a chance to make it and Auburn doesn't.
I would say we have an 85% chance to make it to Omaha.
I would say we have an 85% chance to make it to Omaha.
0
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:55 pm to Truetiger68
quote:
If we win our games then its 100% that we go to the CWS.
If we lose our games then its 0% that we got to the CWS.
Do the math!!!
The average of the odds of us winning the games would be the odds of us going to omaha, which is likely higher than 50%.
Eg. the odds of us winning tonight are higher than 50%, even though there are only 2 outcomes tonight: winning or losing. If we follow this logic, this means we only have a 50% chance to win tonights game.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:57 pm to therocketscientist
I'd say it's 60-40 we get to a SR. Then 50-50 again to make it to the CWS.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 3:18 pm to therocketscientist
Actually, Boyd Nation says we have a 49% chance.
LINK
But he is a Moo State grad, so no wonder he and Aubie are on the same page.
LINK
But he is a Moo State grad, so no wonder he and Aubie are on the same page.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 4:26 pm to therocketscientist
50-50. We either make it or we don't.
I think every game might be 50-50, too. We wither win or we don't.
I think every game might be 50-50, too. We wither win or we don't.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 4:40 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
I had a conversation this morning with an Auburn dude, and he thought LSU was a long shot to make it to Omaha. I know, it is an Auburn grad....
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
What is you all's guess. What liklihood would you put on it?
50%-60% sounds about right to me.
But, some people don't realize how high of a percentage 50% is. It probably ranks us right about where we are seeded (7th) with the highest probability to advance.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 4:51 pm to therocketscientist
I would say 50/50 is fairly accurate.
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