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re: Disastrous night for the tank

Posted on 4/20/12 at 10:10 am to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30237 posts
Posted on 4/20/12 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Stop being stupid. Yes the chances are reduced but look at who has won the 1st pick since 2005?


quote:

6 out of the last 7 years the team that won the lottery was lower than 3rd.


I'm not sure if there is one giant practical joke going on behind the scenes or what, but even if the team with the 10th best record won the lottery for the last 50 years, it's irrelevant.

Going from 3 to 5 doesn't eliminate us from #1 pick contention. It does HURT our chances though. Not sure why this is such a difficult concept for a lot of the people here to grasp.

Whether or not we should tank games is an entirely different discussion. However, strictly from a numbers standpoint, being at 3 is better than being at 5, Period.

Nothing personal to you TigerinATL, your post was in front of me and referenced the lotto so I used it.
This post was edited on 4/20/12 at 10:11 am
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
63753 posts
Posted on 4/20/12 at 10:14 am to
quote:

I'm not sure if there is one giant practical joke going on behind the scenes or what, but even if the team with the 10th best record won the lottery for the last 50 years, it's irrelevant.

Going from 3 to 5 doesn't eliminate us from #1 pick contention. It does HURT our chances though. Not sure why this is such a difficult concept for a lot of the people here to grasp.


I think virtually everyone understands this concept.

By pointing out that the team with the worst record hasn't won the top spot very frequently, no one is suggesting that it's better to have any other specific record. I think they're just observing that the worst record is certainly no guarantee.
Posted by Jumbeauxlaya
LSU
Member since Jan 2011
18083 posts
Posted on 4/20/12 at 10:18 am to
quote:

dcrews


thanks, I know you're not doing it to support the tank or anything but thank god you understand logic. I'm not very good at explaining these concepts to simpletons.. but then again that's why I'm not a teacher.

My point is purely this... a 5% greater chance of getting the best pick in the draft has a higher ROI than winning 1 extra game in an 70 game season.

ETA: :nb4moneytalk:
This post was edited on 4/20/12 at 10:19 am
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