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re: Disastrous night for the tank
Posted on 4/20/12 at 9:53 am to droman225
Posted on 4/20/12 at 9:53 am to droman225
quote:
You're a bit animated about the subject.
I am as well, because I can't stand idiots.
past tendencies have ZERO effect on % based odds.
You can rationalize all you want, but the fact is last night cost us at least 5-10% to get the best player.
3
Posted on 4/20/12 at 9:55 am to Jumbeauxlaya
quote:
am as well, because I can't stand idiots.
past tendencies have ZERO effect on % based odds.
Please, who has said it's not better to have 25% than 15%? No one. However, I do think people are pointing out the random nature of numbers in the lottery and the fact that the team with the worst record still has a 75% chance of NOT getting the top pick. It's a motherfricking crapshoot people. Jeezus.
Posted on 4/20/12 at 10:02 am to Jumbeauxlaya
quote:
past tendencies have ZERO effect on % based odds.
If randomness was so well ordered that streaks never happened, Vegas probably wouldn't exist. Again, I'd rather have better odds than worse odds, but winning last night didn't cost us 5 - 10%. It's kind of an all or nothing proposition. We'll either win from 3, 4, 5 or we won't. To me the bigger problem with losing isn't going from 15% to 11%, it's possibly dropping from 6 at worst to 8 at worst.
This post was edited on 4/20/12 at 10:03 am
Posted on 4/20/12 at 12:01 pm to Jumbeauxlaya
I'm late reading this, but
I already told you we still have the 3rd worst record because we have more losses than Sacramento and Cleveland. We could definitely lose out.
quote:
You can rationalize all you want, but the fact is last night cost us at least 5-10% to get the best player.
I already told you we still have the 3rd worst record because we have more losses than Sacramento and Cleveland. We could definitely lose out.
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