re: Statistical proof NOLA has best statistical odds to win #1 pick w/ 3rd best odds

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So even with "Us vs Field" logic, we are still better off at the #1 position (worst record) than we would be at #3 position (third worst record).

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You're absolutely correct based upon the odds (statistics).

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Past drafts mean NOTHING. It's numbers, it's math, it's fact.

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Correct again.

Nevertheless, there is an 75% chance that the team with the worst record won't get the number one pick. It's just that its chances are a few percentage points higher than that of the third worst record. So past history aligns with the odds . . . the team with the worst record is more likely than not to miss out on the number one pick. Unfortunately, that doesn't increase the odds for any other specific team.

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That being said, Davis played on the best team in the NCAA last year and was EXTREMELY unselfish. What happens when he is forced to play a bigger role and be more aggresive bc he isn't on a dominant team? It's a scary thought.

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Good point. While I think you clearly take Davis if available, I'm not convinced he's as far ahead of everyone else as, say, LeBron was when he came out. Or that he will turn into Howard (although it's possible).