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re: ESPN's Revised Top 25 SEC Players* Updated

Posted on 10/13/11 at 1:43 pm to
Posted by Navytiger74
Member since Oct 2009
50458 posts
Posted on 10/13/11 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Not really. There aren't that many who take care of the ball as well as Lee. Now, there are some who would have better stats, but they would also have more turnovers from taking more chances. Wilson, Bray, and McCarron are the only ones comparable to Lee in taking care of the ball. So, that's a RSJR, Soph, and Soph. I'll take the RSSR over the two sophomores. So, the only guy I'd say is Tyler Wilson, who happens to be the best QB in the conference. Anyone else is too risky either due to the amount of INTs they've already thrown or having far less experience than Lee.


Again, not sleeping on Lee's worth, but it's easier to take care of the ball when you throw it 18 times per game vice 40. And plenty of those balls are screens and short passes. He's done remarkably with what's been asked of him, but if he were on a team like Arky, Tenn, or Florida (weak run game, little D) he'd have to take many more risks and would make more mistakes.
Posted by hashtag
Comfy, AF
Member since Aug 2005
27755 posts
Posted on 10/13/11 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

it's easier to take care of the ball when you throw it 18 times per game vice 40

Attempts Per Game:
Wilson
34.6
Bray
35.2
McCarron
25
Lee
19.6
quote:

And plenty of those balls are screens and short passes.

And, no one else in the SEC throws those...
quote:

but if he were on a team like Arky, Tenn, or Florida (weak run game, little D) he'd have to take many more risks and would make more mistakes.

And, he'd also make more plays than he has now. Lee is a much, much, much better QB than people realize. He's only thrown into double coverage twice all season that I remember??? If he had to throw it 10 more times it doesn't automatically mean he's going to start making poor decisions with the ball. He hasn't done it all year.

Heck, his one INT was on a play where he and the WR were clearly not on the same page.

Based on Lee's play the last 3 years (excluding his freshman year), there is zero reason to think that he would be a turnover machine if he started throwing it 30 times a game. In fact, the evidence would lean to the argument that he would statistically become one of the top QBs in the league.
Posted by hashtag
Comfy, AF
Member since Aug 2005
27755 posts
Posted on 10/13/11 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

not sleeping on Lee's worth,


More stats to wow you:

Number of Attempts per TD (QBs with 8 or more TDs, same as Lee) (aka, how many attempts it takes to get a TD pass out of the QB):
Bray 12.6
Murray 12.3
Wilson 17.3
Trotter 15.6
Lee 14.75
McCarron 18.75

Number of Attempts per INT (aka, how many attempts it takes to get an INT pass out of the QB):
Bray 88
Murray 26.6
Wilson 69.3
Trotter 23.5
Lee 118
McCarron 75

Don't confuse Les' desire to only throw the ball 20x a game with Lee not being a very good QB. He's playing great football. And, there is no reason to think he won't continue as the season progresses and if the coaches ask him to start throwing it more.
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