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Does anyone preferably an expert

Posted on 5/24/10 at 8:44 am
Posted by luvmesumlsu
DFW
Member since Dec 2005
2320 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 8:44 am


Have any idea how long this well would produce oil and gas given the flow rate if NOTHING were done to stop it.

How big is this "pocket" of oil?

Posted by oilfieldtiger
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Dec 2003
2904 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 8:55 am to
it's an impossible question to answer w/o more data. without data like the reservoir size, original oil in place, original bottom hole pressure, flowing bottom hole pressure, accurate flowrates, and reservoir drive mechanism (i.e. is there a big acquifer behind this pushing the oil out or is it just a trapped volume losing pressure like a balloon) - any kind of answer would just be a wild arse guess.
Posted by luvmesumlsu
DFW
Member since Dec 2005
2320 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 9:09 am to


Isn't the reservoir size the reason to drill there in the first place?

I know there are many undertermined variables, but surely these oil companies aren't spending millions of dollars drilling into formations that would only yield let's say 30 days of production.

I'm not flaming---just asking.


Would it be possible for this well to produce at this rate for years?
Posted by SlackMaster
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
2839 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Isn't the reservoir size the reason to drill there in the first place?


Yes. What OilfieldTiger is saying is that BP knows this information, but we don't. So, there's no way to answer the original question of how long this reserve would flow.
Posted by luvmesumlsu
DFW
Member since Dec 2005
2320 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 9:22 am to
Gotcha! I just didn't know if someone besides BP knew or might have heard how big this reservoir is.

Would be interesting to know how big this pocket of oil is!
Posted by WNCTiger
Member since Aug 2006
2883 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 10:48 am to
quote:

The reservoir may have held about 50 million barrels of crude, he said.


From Bloomberg.com: LINK

And Wikipedia: Macondo Prospect

quote:

Location The prospect is located in Mississippi Canyon Block 252 of the Gulf of Mexico. BP is the operator and principal developer of the oil field with 65% of interest, while 25% is owned by Anadarko Petroleum Corporation, and 10% by MOEX Offshore 2007, a unit of Mitsui.[1]

The prospect may have held 50 million barrels (7.9×10^6 m3) producible reserves of oil.
[2]
Posted by the LSUSaint
Member since Nov 2009
15444 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 11:52 am to
Put it this way, they didn't drill for a few weeks of oil. Your probably talking over 3 years
Posted by back9Tiger
Island Coconut Salesman
Member since Nov 2005
17645 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 11:53 am to
more like a couple of decades
Posted by luvmesumlsu
DFW
Member since Dec 2005
2320 posts
Posted on 5/24/10 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

WNCTiger


Thanks!


Man if one reservoir holds that much oil it just makes you wonder how much oil is really under the Gulf of Mexico!
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