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Started By
Message
Penn St. Favored Over LSU
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:44 pm
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:44 pm
Penn St. -2.5
Over/Under 44
Over/Under 44
7
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:45 pm to dirt
Link?
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:45 pm to dirt
can wait for this game
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:45 pm to dirt
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/9/23 at 9:55 am
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:47 pm to msutiger
quote:
anyone who doesnt pick LSU is insane
Thats a BOLD statement. Based on what??? LSU has the talent BUT..........................
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:50 pm to msutiger
quote:
anyone who doesnt pick LSU is insane
Vegas odds makers know more than you about football and if you don't believe it you are insane.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:50 pm to LSUtigahs28
The Big 10 always shows up for the Capital One Bowl.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:52 pm to LSUtigahs28
quote:
Vegas odds makers know more than you about football and if you don't believe it you are insane.
Yeah since they are the business of predicting winners.........LV rankings have Penn State power ranking at a mere 110.3 1 point ahead of our 109.3 so there is your 2.5 points......
Take into the fact that they have no idea if Charles Scott will play and that seems like the likely spread to get bets on each side........We were also not favored against OSU, OU, GT, and we saw how those bowl games panned out.......
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:53 pm to LSUtigahs28
quote:
Vegas odds makers know more than you about football and if you don't believe it you are insane.
I'm so sick of this argument.
THE SPREAD IS SET TO ENCOURAGE AS MUCH BETTING AS POSSIBLE, NOT TO PREDICT THE OUTCOME!!!!!!!!
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:54 pm to msutiger
quote:
anyone who doesnt pick LSU is insane
I don't know about that. Looking at PSU's defensive stats and our stats on offense ... well, I think I'd favor them too. No matter, it should be a close game—a 2.5-point spread is about right.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 6:58 pm to msutiger
quote:
anyone who doesnt pick LSU is insane
LSU sucks balls in day games. It's far from insane to have Penn State who plays pretty much all of their games at the same time as the Cap 1 kickoff as the favorites.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 7:02 pm to JJ27
quote:
Vegas odds makers know more than you about football and if you don't believe it you are insane.
What was the line on the SEC championship game again?
Posted on 12/7/09 at 7:04 pm to DEG
quote:
What was the line on the SEC championship game again?
sick burn
Posted on 12/7/09 at 7:06 pm to dirt
Vegas not really playing with "odds" are they?
Posted on 12/7/09 at 7:09 pm to dirt
sounds about right to me.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 7:11 pm to Luke4LSU
Luke4LSU, forget it Luke. no matter how much you say this and no matter how true it is, people never and i mean never understand this. i have given up.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 8:08 pm to dukke v
Speed kills!
Posted on 12/7/09 at 8:12 pm to TexasTiger89
Good, GT was also favored us last year.
Posted on 12/7/09 at 8:13 pm to LSUtigahs28
quote:
Vegas odds makers know more than you about football and if you don't believe it you are insane.
there is a betting system that does very well in bowl games every year, wins over 65% of the time i believe. LSU qualifies for the system over Penn State this year.
I'll try to find a link, but is is based on strength of schedule
quote:
Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs (remember this is by ranking ... not actual %)
2007: 11-1
2008: 12-5
(23-6 79%)
here's what applies
TCU (4, 84 SOS) over Boise State (8, 98 SOS)
Florida (2, 27 SOS) over Cincinnati (6, 63 SOS)
LSU (10, 16 SOS) over Penn State (20, 83 SOS)
Oregon State (15, 21 SOS) over BYU (29, 77 SOS)
California (33, 17 SOS) over Utah (35, 73 SOS)
Miami-FL (11, 18) over Wisconsin (36, 68 SOS)
Troy (69, 106 SOS) over Central Michigan (38, 111 SOS)
Air Force (55, 92 SOS) over Houston (46, 97 SOS)
Arkansas (16, 13 SOS) over East Carolina (50, 61 SOS)
South Florida (51, 62 SOS) over Northern Illinois (87, 121 SOS)
Central Florida (61, 85 SOS) over Rutgers (52, 100 SOS)
Wyoming (99, 57 SOS) over Fresno State (57, 74 SOS)
Missouri (47, 50 SOS) over Navy (54, 74 SOS)
Nevada (56, 82 SOS) over SMU (88, 90 SOS)
its won 65% over the last 5 years
This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 8:18 pm
Posted on 12/7/09 at 8:17 pm to LSU GrandDad
quote:
THE SPREAD IS SET TO ENCOURAGE AS MUCH BETTING AS POSSIBLE, NOT TO PREDICT THE OUTCOME!!!!!!!!
Not really. The point spread it meant to attract the same amount of money to be bet on each team. The spread changes as the game approaches to accomplish that as closely as possible. Vegas just wants the vig.
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